The Candidates’ Market Report
Yet another week passes with President Trump’s approval ratings holding steady, and still 1% above where President Obama was during the same point in his presidency. The interesting aspect this week is that Trump may have lost some support among Independent and Republican voters but he gained support from an unlikely demographic: black voters.
Despite taking flack in the media over his comments regarding Baltimore, his support among black voters actually jumped around 6 points; what’s more, it seems to be holding steady. Could this be that his recognizing that some areas of the nation are in fact rat-infested and provide poor quality of life is the first acknowledgment from a mainstream politician that something needs to be done?
This Week’s Major Players
Approval Ratings:
- Donald Trump – 48% ( no change )
- Congress – 17% ( – 1% )
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.
Democratic Party Nominee:
- Joe Biden – 12/5
- Kamala Harris – 11/4
- Elizabeth Warren – 3/1
- Pete Buttigieg – 15/2
- Bernie Sanders – 15/2
- Andrew Yang – 13/1
This is the week where everything changed. Joe Biden has successfully taken the top spot in the betting odds. The former VP has long been the steady favorite in poll after poll but was always trailing with the cash money bettors. Not any more. Jumping from 3/1 he now sits on 12/5 in the favorite position having leapfrogged both Kamal Harris and Elizabeth Warren.
Harris has slipped a fraction from 21/10 to 11/4 while Warren has stayed on 3/1.
The outsiders have continued to drop in the odds with Buttigieg and Sanders both taking heavy hits. It looks as though the cash bets and the polling are finally starting to match up. And this means a Biden ticket for 2020.
Presidential Election:
- Donald Trump – 10/11
- Joe Biden – 5/1
- Elizabeth Warren – 11/2
- Kamala Harris – 13/2
- Bernie Sanders – 9/1
- Pete Buttigieg – 11/1
- Andrew Yang – 20/1
- Tulsi Gabbard – 25/1
- Cory Booker – 30/1
- Amy Klobuchar – 30/1
- Beto O’Rourke – 40/1
Donald Trump continues to strengthen his lead this week. The major movement again comes from Joe Biden jumping to the second position on an outsider bet of 5/1 with Harris and Warren both losing momentum. Buttigieg and Sander slip a point each while Tulsi Gabbard, fresh from giving Harris a tough time in the primary debates raises her odds by 5 points.
Donald Trump:
- Impeachment – 1/6
- Resignation – 1/12
- Trump to ban Black Voting Rights – 300/1
- Trump to ban stairs – 500/1
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
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Read more from Mark Angelides or comment on this article at LibertyNation.com.
